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Reliability and Utility of the Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score in Hyperacute Stroke
Jillian Naylor1, Leonid Churilov1, Neil Rane1
1Melbourne Brain Centre, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Parkville, Victoria, Australia; Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Victoria, Australia.
The Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (ASPECTS) is less reliable for predicting stroke outcomes in early time windows. Lower inter-rater agreement and prognostic accuracy suggest caution when using ASPECTS for early treatment selection.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Radiology
- Stroke Medicine
Background:
- The Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (ASPECTS) assesses early ischemic changes on non-contrast computed tomography (NCCT).
- ASPECTS's accuracy depends on the visibility of these changes, which can vary with time since stroke onset.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate how the time from ischemic stroke onset to initial NCCT impacts the inter-rater variability of ASPECTS.
- To evaluate the influence of this time window on the prognostic accuracy of ASPECTS for 3-month functional outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of ischemic stroke patients treated with IV-tPA (2007-2014).
- Two independent raters assessed ASPECTS, with agreement measured by weighted kappa.
- Onset-to-CT time was dichotomized (≤100 and >100 minutes).
- Prognostic utility assessed using logistic regression and ROC analysis.
Main Results:
- Lower inter-rater agreement for ASPECTS was observed in the early time period (kappa = .75 vs .92, P < .001).
- Significant differences in absolute inter-rater ASPECTS differences were found between early and later time periods (P = .03).
- A trend towards reduced prognostic accuracy was noted in earlier time periods (AUC ≤100 min = .57 vs >100 min = .66, P = .055).
Conclusions:
- ASPECTS demonstrates significantly lower inter-rater agreement in early time windows after ischemic stroke.
- There is a trend towards reduced prognostic accuracy of ASPECTS for functional outcomes when assessed earlier.
- The reliability of ASPECTS for selecting patients for revascularization in early time windows may be questionable.
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