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The variable and chaotic nature of professional golf performance
Michael Stöckl1, Peter F Lamb2
1a Department of Sports Science , University of Vienna , Vienna , Austria.
PGA TOUR golf performance exhibits chaotic dynamics, with stable performance phases comprising typical shots. Decreased variability in tee shots correlates with better tournament rankings, suggesting a complex interplay in professional golf.
Area of Science:
- Sports Science
- Motor Control
- Biomechanics
Background:
- Individual performance in golf is influenced by numerous shot-specific constraints rather than direct player interactions.
- Understanding shot-by-shot performance dynamics is crucial for analyzing golfer performance.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the stability and variability of PGA TOUR golfers' performance on a shot-by-shot basis in 2011.
- To investigate the relationship between performance stability/variability and tournament outcomes.
Main Methods:
- Recurrence Quantification Analysis (RQA) was used to assess performance stability.
- Standard deviation was employed to measure performance variability.
- Analysis covered all shots taken by PGA TOUR golfers in the 2011 season.
Main Results:
- Approximately 10% of shots occurred during short stable phases (3.7 ± 1.1 shots).
- Stable phases predominantly included typical performance shots, not exceptional or poor ones.
- Overall stability and variability did not correlate with tournament performance, but decreased tee shot variability was linked to higher tournament rankings.
Conclusions:
- PGA TOUR golf performance demonstrates chaotic characteristics.
- Further research is needed to explore amateur golf performance structures and universality.
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