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Advances in using Internet searches to track dengue
Shihao Yang1, Samuel C Kou1, Fred Lu2
1Department of Statistics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Plos Computational Biology
|July 21, 2017
Summary
Google search trends can help track dengue infections in real-time, improving surveillance in over 100 countries. This method enhances public health efforts for this widespread mosquito-borne disease.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Digital Health
Background:
- Dengue, a mosquito-borne illness, affects over half the global population, with limited surveillance tools in endemic regions.
- Existing dengue surveillance methods often lack the timeliness needed for effective public health interventions.
- Internet-based data sources offer potential for enhanced disease tracking and early warning systems.
Observation:
- Dengue-related Google search trends demonstrate a correlation with actual dengue disease activity.
- A methodological framework, previously used for influenza surveillance, was adapted for dengue.
- The framework was applied to estimate dengue cases in Mexico, Brazil, Thailand, Singapore, and Taiwan.
Findings:
- The adapted modeling framework successfully produced near real-time dengue case estimates.
- The study validated the framework's utility across diverse geographical and epidemiological settings.
- Internet search data provides a valuable, complementary data stream for dengue surveillance.
Implications:
- This approach can significantly improve the timeliness and accuracy of dengue tracking globally.
- Enhanced dengue surveillance can lead to more effective and rapid public health responses.
- The methodology offers a scalable solution for monitoring infectious diseases using digital data.

