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The web and public confidence in MMR vaccination in Italy
Francesco Aquino1, Gabriele Donzelli2, Emanuela De Franco3
1Department of Translational Research, N.T.M.S. - University of Pisa, Via Savi 10, 56126 Pisa, Italy.
Abstract:
Measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) vaccination coverage in Italy has been decreasing starting from 2012 and, at the present, none of the Italian regions has achieved the goal of 95% coverage target. A decision of the Court of Justice of Rimini in March 2012 that awarded vaccine-injury compensation for a case of autism has been indicated as a probable trigger event leading to a reduction of vaccine confidence in Italy. The aim of the study was to explore the relationship between MMR vaccination coverage to online search trends and social network activity on the topic "autism and MMR vaccine", during the period 2010-2015. A significant inverse correlation was found between MMR vaccination coverage and Internet search activity, tweets and Facebook posts. New media might have played a role in spreading misinformation. Media monitoring could be useful to assess the level of vaccine hesitancy and to plan and target effective information campaigns.
Insights
Declining measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccination rates in Italy correlate with increased online searches and social media activity about autism and the MMR vaccine. This suggests new media may spread misinformation, impacting vaccine confidence.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Health Communication
Background:
- Measles, mumps, and rubella (MMR) vaccination coverage in Italy has declined significantly since 2012, with no region meeting the 95% target.
- A 2012 court ruling linking autism to the MMR vaccine is suspected as a catalyst for reduced vaccine confidence.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between MMR vaccination coverage and online search trends and social media activity concerning "autism and MMR vaccine" between 2010 and 2015.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of MMR vaccination coverage data in Italy.
- Monitoring of Internet search trends (e.g., Google Trends).
- Tracking of social network activity (e.g., Twitter, Facebook) related to "autism and MMR vaccine".
Main Results:
- A significant inverse correlation was observed between MMR vaccination coverage and online search volume, tweets, and Facebook posts.
- Increased online discourse and search activity regarding autism and the MMR vaccine coincided with decreased vaccination rates.
Conclusions:
- New media platforms may contribute to the spread of misinformation regarding the MMR vaccine and autism.
- Media monitoring is a valuable tool for assessing vaccine hesitancy and designing targeted public health information campaigns.
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