Related Experiment Video
Updated: Feb 25, 2026

A Method of Trigonometric Modelling of Seasonal Variation Demonstrated with Multiple Sclerosis Relapse Data
Published on: December 9, 2015
Older Age at Multiple Sclerosis Onset Is an Independent Factor of Poor Prognosis: A Population-Based Cohort Study
Francis Guillemin1, Cédric Baumann, Jonathan Epstein
1INSERM CIC Epidémiologie Clinique, CHRU de Nancy, Nancy, France.
Background:
Late-onset multiple sclerosis (LOMS) frequently features a primary progressive (PP) course, strongly predicting severe disability. In this population-based cohort, we estimated the prognostic role of age at multiple sclerosis (MS) onset, independent of PP course, on disability progression.
Methods:
The association of age at disease onset (adult, <50 years [AOMS], vs. late, ≥50 years [LOMS]) and time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score 4 and 6 was estimated by Cox regression modelling.
Results:
Among 3,597 patients, 245 had LOMS. Relapsing-remitting (RR) disease was less frequent with LOMS than AOMS (51.8 vs. 90.8%, p < 0.0001). PP course, LOMS and male gender predicted short time to EDSS 4 and 6. Worse outcome with LOMS (time to EDSS 4 and 6, HR 2.0 [95% CI 1.7-2.4] and 2.3 [1.9-2.9]) was independent of PP course or male gender. LOMS had greater impact on RR than PP disease (time to EDSS 4 and 6, HR 3.1 [2.3-4.0] and 4.0 [2.9-5.6]). Only LOMS predicted time from EDSS 4 to 6 (p < 0.0001).
Conclusions:
Late onset MS was strongly associated with poor prognosis, independent of initial disease course, in predicting the disability progression along time.
Insights
Late-onset multiple sclerosis (LOMS) indicates a poorer prognosis and faster disability progression compared to adult-onset MS. This finding holds true regardless of the initial disease course, highlighting LOMS as a critical prognostic factor.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Clinical Epidemiology
Background:
- Late-onset multiple sclerosis (LOMS), defined as onset at age ≥50 years, often presents with a primary progressive (PP) course, which is associated with severe disability.
- Understanding the prognostic implications of age at onset, independent of disease course, is crucial for managing LOMS patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the independent prognostic role of age at multiple sclerosis (MS) onset on disability progression.
Main Methods:
- A population-based cohort study involving 3,597 patients.
- Cox regression modeling was used to assess the association between age at onset (adult-onset MS [AOMS] vs. LOMS) and time to Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores of 4 and 6.
Main Results:
- LOMS was diagnosed in 245 patients and was associated with a less frequent relapsing-remitting (RR) disease course compared to AOMS (51.8% vs. 90.8%).
- LOMS independently predicted a shorter time to reaching EDSS 4 and 6 (HR 2.0 and 2.3, respectively), irrespective of PP course or male gender.
- The impact of LOMS on disability progression was more pronounced in patients with RR disease than in those with PP disease.
Conclusions:
- Late-onset MS is a significant independent predictor of poor prognosis and accelerated disability progression.
- Age at onset is a critical factor in determining long-term outcomes in multiple sclerosis patients.
Related Concept Videos
Longitudinal Research
Pharmacokinetics in Geriatric Patients: Effect of Age on Drug Metabolism
Pharmacodynamics in Geriatric Patients: Effects of Age
Pharmacokinetics in Geriatric Patients: Effect of Age on Drug Distribution
Pharmacokinetics in Geriatric Patients: Effect of Age on Drug Absorption
Pharmacokinetics in Geriatric Patients: Effect of Age on Drug Excretion

