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Outcomes of HIV-positive patients with cryptococcal meningitis in the Americas
B Crabtree Ramírez1, Y Caro Vega1, B E Shepherd2
1Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán Mexico City, Mexico.
Insights
Cryptococcal meningitis (CM) in HIV patients has high mortality in Latin America. Starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) after CM diagnosis was linked to increased death risk, though timing within 2-8 weeks showed no survival difference.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
- HIV/AIDS Research
Background:
- Cryptococcal meningitis (CM) presents a significant mortality challenge for HIV-infected individuals.
- The burden of CM in Latin America and optimal antiretroviral therapy (ART) timing remain under-described.
- Early ART initiation may increase mortality risk, but data from the Americas are limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the mortality rates associated with cryptococcal meningitis in HIV-infected patients across Latin America.
- To evaluate the impact of antiretroviral therapy (ART) timing on survival outcomes for patients with CM.
- To describe the epidemiological burden of CM in the Latin American region.
Main Methods:
- A cohort study included HIV-infected adults diagnosed with CM between 1985-2014 from Latin American sites (CCASAnet) and VCCC.
- Survival probabilities were estimated using Kaplan-Meier methods.
- Dynamic marginal structural models assessed the risk of death comparing ART initiation within 2 weeks versus 2-8 weeks post-CM diagnosis, adjusting for covariates.
Main Results:
- The study included 340 patients, with a 42% overall mortality rate.
- Patients diagnosed with CM after ART initiation had a significantly higher risk of death (p=0.03).
- No statistically significant difference in survival probability was observed between initiating ART within 2 weeks (29%) versus 2-8 weeks (26%) of CM diagnosis (p=0.96).
Conclusions:
- Cryptococcal meningitis carries a very high mortality rate in this Latin American cohort, particularly for those diagnosed after ART initiation.
- The findings underscore the substantial burden of CM among HIV-infected populations in Latin America.
- Further research may be needed to clarify optimal ART timing due to potential limitations in the current analysis.
Background:
Cryptococcal meningitis (CM) is associated with substantial mortality in HIV-infected patients. Optimal timing of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in persons with CM represents a clinical challenge, and the burden of CM in Latin America has not been well described. Studies suggest that early ART initiation is associated with higher mortality, but data from the Americas are scarce.
Methods:
HIV-infected adults in care between 1985-2014 at participating sites in the Latin America (the Caribbean, Central and South America network (CCASAnet)) and the Vanderbilt Comprehensive Care Clinic (VCCC) and who had CM were included. Survival probabilities were estimated. Risk of death when initiating ART within the first 2 weeks after CM diagnosis versus initiating between 2-8 weeks was assessed using dynamic marginal structural models adjusting for site, age, sex, year of CM, CD4 count, and route of HIV transmission.
Findings:
340 patients were included (Argentina 58, Brazil 138, Chile 28, Honduras 27, Mexico 34, VCCC 55) and 142 (42%) died during the observation period. Among 151 patients with CM prior to ART 56 (37%) patients died compared to 86 (45%) of 189 with CM after ART initiation (p=0.14). Patients diagnosed with CM after ART had a higher risk of death (p=0.03, log-rank test). The probability of survival was not statistically different between patients who started ART within 2 weeks of CM (7/24, 29%) vs. those initiating between 2-8 weeks (14/53, 26%) (p=0.96), potentially due to lack of power.
Interpretation:
In this large Latin-American cohort, patients with CM had very high mortality rates, especially those diagnosed after ART initiation. This study reflects the overwhelming burden of CM in HIV-infected patients in Latin America.
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