Quantification of Interstitial Fibrosis in Renal Allografts and Clinical Correlates of Long-Term Graft Function

The present study investigated interstitial fibrosis (IF) in 144 kidney recipients 0 h and 1 year post transplantation and assessed relationships with Banff code scores, clinical parameters, and long-term graft function.

A quantitative analysis of IF was performed using the computer-assisted imaging of Sirius red-stained biopsy samples. Percent IF (%IF) in the cortical region was assessed at 0 h and 1 year, and an increase in the ratio of %IF from 0 h to 1 year was calculated. The relationship between %IF and Banff code scores was analyzed. Demographics and trough concentrations of tacrolimus were tested as risk factors in the top 20 patients with increases in %IF. The influence of increases in the ratio of %IF at 1 year on long-term graft function and survival was also assessed in these 20 patients.

Median %IF at 0 h and 1 year were 1.55 and 2.80%, respectively. No correlation was found between %IF and Banff code scores. The mean increase in the ratio of %IF from 0 h to 1 year was 4.31-fold. The increase in %IF in the top 20 patients correlated with diabetes mellitus. Graft function, but not graft survival, was lower in the top 20 patients for 10 years post transplantation.

A correlation was not found between %IF and Banff code scores. Greater increases in %IF within 1 year post transplantation may influence long-term graft survival. Computer-analyzed increases in %IF at 1 year may be a surrogate marker for long-term graft function.