Correlation Between Emphysema and Lung Function in Healthy Smokers and Smokers With COPD

Background: Emphysema is an important component of COPD; however, in previous studies of the correlation between airflow limitation (AFL) and computed tomography (CT) lung density as a surrogate for emphysema has varied. We hypothesised a good correlation between lung function (forced expiratory volume in first second [FEV₁]) and emphysema (15^th percentile density [PD15]) and that this correlation also exists between loss of lung tissue and decline in lung function even within the time frame of longitudinal studies of relatively short duration. Methods: We combined 2 large longitudinal studies (the Danish Lung Cancer Screening Trial [DLCST] and the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints [ECLIPSE]) of smokers or former smokers, with a wide range of AFL and CT lung density, and analysed data from 2148 participants who did not change smoking habits and who had at least 2 CT scans and 2 FEV₁ measurements at least 3 years apart. Results: Baseline correlation between FEV₁ and PD15 was high (r=0.716, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.694-0.736, p<0.001) indicating that at least half of the variation in FEV₁ can be explained by variation in CT lung density. Correlation between the decline in FEV₁ and progression of PD15 was considerably weaker (r= 0.081, 95% CI: 0.038-0.122, p<0.001). Conclusions: Correlation is very high between lung density and lung function in a broad spectrum of smokers and ex-smokers. In contrast, the temporal associations (slopes) are weakly correlated, probably due to uncertainty in the estimation of slopes within a time frame of 3-4 years.