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Updated: Feb 23, 2026
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Published on: May 23, 2025
Prognostic factors indicating survival with native liver after Kasai procedure for biliary atresia
Juma Obayashi1, Kohei Kawaguchi1, Shutaro Manabe1
1Division of Pediatric Surgery, St. Marianna University School of Medicine, 2-16-1 Sugao, Miyamae, Kawasaki, Kanagawa, 216-8511, Japan.
Background:
The number of the bile ducts in the portal canal/measured surface area of the portal canal (BDP ratio) indicates prognosis in biliary atresia (BA), as does an elevated cytokeratin 7 positivity percentage (PCK7). We compared these two markers.
Methods:
We reviewed 32 BA cases undergoing Kasai operation from 1976 to 2016 with >5 portal canals in biopsy samples. Group I required liver transplantation or died within a year of operation (n = 8). Group II survived with their native liver (n = 24). We determined the BDP ratio (102/mm2) and PCK7 (%), subdividing patients into three groups by their age at operation: Group A ≤60 days (n = 6, 1 Group I), 60< Group B ≤90days (n = 16, 5 Group I), Group C >90 days (n = 10, 2 Group I).
Results:
PCK7 (%) was 2.71 ± 1.87 in Group I and 4.25 ± 2.56 in Group II (p = 0.13). BDP ratio (102/mm2) was 1.19 ± 0.424 in Group I and 1.64 ± 0.534 in Group II (p = 0.04). Both markers were higher in Group C than in Group A or B (p < 0.01).
Conclusion:
The BDP ratio is a better prognostic indicator than PCK7 in BA.
