Association of Ambulatory Blood Pressure Monitoring parameters with the Framingham Stroke Risk Profile

The Framingham Stroke Risk Profile (FSRP) is a novel and reliable tool for estimating the 10-year probability for incident stroke in stroke-free individuals, while the predictive value of ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM) for first-ever and recurrent stroke has been well established. We sought to evaluate cross-sectionally the association of ABPM parameters with FSRP score in a large sample of 2343 consecutive stroke-free individuals (mean age: 56.0±12.9, 49.1% male) who underwent 24-hour ABPM. True hypertensives showed significantly higher FSRP (11.2±5.0) compared to the normotensives (8.2±5.0, p<0.001), while subjects with white coat hypertension also had higher FSRP (10.2±4.7) than normotensives (8.2±5.0, p<0.001). Compared to dippers that exhibited the lowest FSRP, non-dippers and reverse-dippers exhibited significantly higher FSRP (9.8±4.8 for dippers vs 10.6±5.2 and 11.5±5.0 for non-dippers and reverse-dippers respectively, p≤0.001 for comparisons). In univariate analyses, the ABPM parameters that had the strongest correlation with FSRP were 24-hour (r=0.440, p<0.001), daytime (r=0.435, p<0.001) and night-time (r=0.423; p<0.001) pulse pressure (PP). The best fitting model for predicting FSRP (R²=24.6%) on multiple linear regression analyses after adjustment for vascular risk factors not included in FSRP comprised the following parameters in descending order: 24-hour PP (β=0.349, p<0.001), daytime SBP variability (β=0.124, p<0.001), 24-hour HR variability (β=-0.091, p<0.001), mean 24-hour HR (β=-0.107, p<0.001), BMI (β=0.081, p<0.001) and dipping percentage (β=-0.063, p=0.001). 24-hour PP and daytime SBP variability are the two ABPM parameters that were more strongly associated with FSRP-score. Reverse dippers had the highest FSRP among all dipping status profiles.