Interpretation of indeterminate HIV-1 PCR results are influenced by changing vertical transmission prevention

Jean Maritz1, Jayshree Narvin Maharaj1, Mark Frederic Cotton2

  • 1Division of Medical Virology, Department of Pathology, National Health Laboratory Service and Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.

Insights

Indeterminate HIV PCR results in infants are decreasing with Option B+ regimens but still indicate a high likelihood of infection. Further virological testing is crucial for definitive diagnosis in HIV-exposed infants.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric infectious diseases
  • Virology
  • Public health

Background:

  • Antiretroviral drug suppression of HIV can lead to indeterminate PCR results in infants.
  • This diagnostic challenge complicates early identification and treatment initiation for infected infants.
  • The impact of different vertical HIV transmission prevention (VTP) regimens on indeterminate PCR rates and predictive value is unclear.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To examine indeterminate PCR rates and outcomes in HIV-exposed infants under intensified VTP in South Africa.
  • To assess the predictive value of indeterminate PCR for later positive results.
  • To analyze the influence of VTP regimens on PCR results.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of diagnostic PCR data from a public health laboratory (2009-2014).
  • Categorization of results by South African VTP regimens.
  • Linking initial indeterminate PCRs in infants (<12 months) with follow-up PCRs and serological tests.

Main Results:

  • Intensified VTP regimens significantly reduced indeterminate (5.6% to 3.2%) and positive (2.4% to 0.4%) PCR rates (p<0.001).
  • Under WHO Option B+, 64.1% of indeterminate results were followed by positive PCRs, compared to 14.7% with older regimens (p<0.001).
  • These positive follow-up results occurred at a median of 28 days.

Conclusions:

  • Indeterminate HIV PCRs are decreasing with Option B+ but remain highly suspicious for true HIV-1 infection.
  • Indeterminate results necessitate further virological testing for definitive diagnosis in HIV-exposed infants.
  • VTP regimen choice impacts the frequency and predictive value of indeterminate PCR results.
Abstract