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Misconceptions, Misuses, and Misinterpretations of P Values and Significance Testing
Joel J Gagnier1, Hal Morgenstern
11Departments of Orthopaedic Surgery (J.J.G.) and Urology (H.M.), Medical School, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 2Departments of Epidemiology (J.J.G. and H.M.) and Environmental Health Sciences (H.M.), School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan.
Misconceptions about p values and statistical significance are common in biomedical research, including orthopaedics. Adhering to American Statistical Association guidelines is crucial for accurate scientific reporting and interpretation.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Medical Research Methodology
- Orthopaedic Research
Background:
- P values and statistical significance are frequently misinterpreted in biomedical research.
- Orthopaedic publications are affected by widespread misconceptions regarding statistical interpretation.
- The American Statistical Association (ASA) has issued principles for the correct use and interpretation of p values.
Purpose of the Study:
- To discuss the 6 core principles of the ASA statement on p values and statistical testing.
- To highlight common misinterpretations of statistical significance in research.
- To provide recommendations for improving statistical reporting and interpretation in orthopaedics.
Main Methods:
- Review and discussion of the 6 principles outlined in the ASA's official statement on p values.
- Analysis of the implications of these principles for biomedical and orthopaedic research.
- Formulation of recommendations for authors, investigators, educators, and editors.
Main Results:
- P values indicate data incompatibility with a model, not hypothesis truth probability.
- Statistical significance does not measure effect size or importance.
- Decisions should not solely rely on p-value thresholds; transparency and full reporting are essential.
Conclusions:
- Authors should avoid "statistically significant"/"nonsignificant" claims and report effect magnitudes with precision.
- Education in biostatistics and epidemiology is vital for orthopaedic professionals.
- Journal editors and reviewers must enforce ASA principles for robust scientific inference.
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