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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Feb 22, 2026

A Video Surveillance System to Monitor Breeding Colonies of Common Terns Sterna Hirundo
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Projecting range-wide sun bear population trends using tree cover and camera-trap bycatch data.

Lorraine Scotson1, Gabriella Fredriksson2, Dusit Ngoprasert3

  • 1Department of Fisheries, Wildlife and Conservation Biology, University of Minnesota, St Paul, Minnesota, United States of America.

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|September 30, 2017
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Summary

Sun bear (Helarctos malayanus) populations are declining due to tree cover loss. This study used camera traps and tree cover data to project significant population decreases, especially in insular Southeast Asia.

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Area of Science:

  • Ecology
  • Conservation Biology
  • Wildlife Population Monitoring

Background:

  • Standardized monitoring of threatened species like the sun bear (Helarctos malayanus) is crucial for conservation.
  • Previous sun bear population estimates relied on subjective expert opinions, lacking systematic replicability.
  • Sun bears are a forest-dependent tropical species with a wide range across Southeast Asia.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and apply a data-driven, repeatable method for estimating sun bear population trends.
  • To model the relationship between sun bear occurrence and tree cover using camera trap data.
  • To project future sun bear population declines based on projected tree cover loss.

Main Methods:

  • Combined data from 1,463 camera traps across 31 field sites.
  • Modeled the relationship between sun bear photo catch rates and tree cover within a 6-km² buffer.
  • Utilized a "space for time" substitution approach to infer temporal population trends from spatial data.

Main Results:

  • Sun bears were detected in areas with over 20% tree cover, with presence positively associated with tree cover.
  • Projected sun bear population declines of ~9% in mainland Southeast Asia (2000-2014) due to tree cover loss.
  • Projected significantly higher declines of 22% in insular Southeast Asia during the same period, with over 50% projected within 30 years.

Conclusions:

  • Remotely sensed tree cover data and camera trap data offer an objective, repeatable alternative to expert opinion for population trend estimation.
  • Projected declines in insular Southeast Asia may meet IUCN criteria for endangered status at the population level.
  • The "space for time" substitution method, while requiring assumptions, provides valuable insights into population dynamics and conservation needs for sun bears.