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Predicting Support for Reconciliation in Separatist Conflict.

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Separatist movements are driven by the need to protect subgroup identity and power. Threats to these needs reduce support for reconciliation, offering insights into resolving separatist conflicts.

Keywords:
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Area of Science:

  • Social Psychology
  • Political Science
  • Conflict Studies

Background:

  • Separatist movements often stem from perceived threats to subgroup identity and power.
  • Understanding these underlying motives is crucial for addressing secessionist conflicts.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the roles of subgroup identity and power preservation in separatist intentions.
  • To examine how these motives influence perceptions of injustice and empowerment, and subsequently, reconciliation.

Main Methods:

  • Two survey studies were conducted with indigenous populations in West Papua (N=201 and N=248).
  • Data were collected on perceptions of identity and power threats, injustice, subgroup empowerment, and support for reconciliation.

Main Results:

  • Identity threat was linked to increased perceptions of injustice.
  • Power threat was associated with a greater need for subgroup empowerment.
  • Both perceived injustice and the need for subgroup empowerment negatively impacted support for reconciliation.

Conclusions:

  • Identity and power motives are key predictors of separatist intentions.
  • Addressing identity and power concerns is vital for fostering reconciliation in separatist conflicts.
  • This research provides novel insights into the psychological underpinnings of secessionist movements.