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Published on: September 19, 2012
A unifying Bayesian account of contextual effects in value-based choice
Francesco Rigoli1,2, Christoph Mathys3,4,5, Karl J Friston1
1The Wellcome Trust Centre for Neuroimaging, UCL, 12 Queen Square, London, United Kingdom.
This study presents a unifying Bayesian theory explaining how past and present choices influence decision-making value. It clarifies context effects on incentive value and choice behavior.
Area of Science:
- Neuroscience
- Cognitive Science
- Decision Science
Background:
- Classical theories struggle to explain how context influences choice value.
- Existing models address either within-choice or between-choice context effects, lacking unification.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a unifying Bayesian framework for understanding context effects on incentive value attribution and choice.
- To reconcile empirical findings on contextual influences on decision-making.
Main Methods:
- Formulation of a normative Bayesian theory where incentive value is a precision-weighted prediction error.
- Demonstration of the theory's ability to explain diverse context effects.
Main Results:
- The proposed Bayesian scheme successfully explains within-choice context effects, including multi-attribute integration scenarios.
- The same scheme accounts for between-choice context effects, unifying past and present option influences.
- The theory provides a parsimonious explanation without ad-hoc assumptions.
Conclusions:
- The Bayesian framework offers a unified perspective on context effects in decision-making.
- This model clarifies the contextual nature of incentive value and choice.
- Potential implications for understanding decision-making in psychopathologies like addiction and pathological gambling.
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