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Updated: Feb 21, 2026

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Published on: October 13, 2017
Modelling personality, plasticity and predictability in shelter dogs
Conor Goold1, Ruth C Newberry1
1Department of Animal and Aquacultural Sciences, Faculty of Biosciences, Norwegian University of Life Sciences, Norway.
Longitudinal assessments of shelter dog behavior, considering personality and plasticity, improve prediction accuracy. This approach offers a more reliable way to understand individual dog behavior over time.
Area of Science:
- Animal Behavior and Welfare
- Veterinary Science
- Ethology
Background:
- Standardized behavioral test batteries for shelter dogs have inconsistent predictive validity.
- Longitudinal behavioral assessments offer a promising alternative for understanding canine behavior.
- Current methods often fail to capture the dynamic nature of behavior in shelter environments.
Purpose of the Study:
- To model longitudinal observational data of shelter dogs using behavioral reaction norms.
- To partition behavioral variance into personality, plasticity, and predictability.
- To improve the predictive accuracy of behavioral assessments in shelter dogs.
Main Methods:
- Modeled longitudinal observational data from 3263 shelter dogs (19,281 interactions).
- Utilized the framework of behavioral reaction norms to analyze variance.
- Accounted for personality, linear/quadratic plasticity, and predictability in analyses.
Main Results:
- Models incorporating personality, plasticity, and predictability significantly improved predictive accuracy.
- While dogs were generally sociable, individual variation was considerable, and group averages were unrepresentative.
- Demographic variables influenced personality, plasticity, and predictability; behavioral repeatability increased over time.
Conclusions:
- Longitudinal behavioral assessments are valuable for understanding shelter dog behavior.
- Accounting for individual differences in behavioral change (plasticity and predictability) enhances assessment accuracy.
- Findings suggest measures to improve the predictive validity of behavioral assessments in animal shelters.
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