Major prognostic factors of adult patients with advanced T-cell lymphoma/leukemia

Eighty-one adult patients with advanced T-cell lymphoma/leukemia including 54 with adult T-cell leukemia/lymphoma (ATL), who were treated between 1981 and 1983 with vincristine, cyclophosphamide, prednisolone, and doxorubicin (VEPA) or VEPA plus methotrexate (VEPA-M) in randomized fashion, were evaluated for pretreatment characteristics. The overall complete response (CR) and the 4-year survival rates were 39.5% and 19.4%, respectively, and 69% of 32 CR patients had relapses, indicating the need for development of new effective regimens for the disease. In a multiple logistic regression analysis, only three factors, leukemic manifestation, poor performance status (PS), and a high lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) level, were significantly associated with the poor response rate. In a Cox proportional hazards model analysis, shortened survival was again significantly associated with poor PS and a high LDH level, but not with a clinical diagnosis of ATL. The two factors, PS and LDH level, that were found to be significantly associated with both CR and survival rates, were used to construct a model containing six categories of patients at increasing risk for poor response and shortened survival. These categories divided the patients into three groups with respective CR and 4-year survival rates of 75% and 53% for low-risk, 45% and 15% for moderate-risk, and 15% and 0% for high-risk. The results indicate that PS and LDH levels were the most important in predicting the response and survival of an adult patient with advanced T-cell lymphoma/leukemia. The prognosis of patients with usual peripheral T-cell lymphoma, excluding ATL, was comparable with that of advanced B-cell lymphoma. These results have important implications for the design of new prospective therapeutic trials.