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Generalizing Randomized Clinical Trial Results: Implementation and Challenges Related to Missing Data in the Target
Jin-Liern Hong1, Michele Jonsson Funk1, Robert LoCasale2
1Department of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina.
Statins like rosuvastatin may benefit patients with high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, but real-world effectiveness requires further study. This research generalizes trial findings to broader populations using real-world data.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Clinical Trials
- Real-World Evidence
Background:
- The Justification for the Use of Statins in Prevention: an Intervention Trial Evaluating Rosuvastatin (JUPITER) trial established statin efficacy in specific patient groups.
- Generalizability of JUPITER findings to real-world populations with elevated high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) and normal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) remains uncertain.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the generalizability of JUPITER trial results regarding rosuvastatin's cardiovascular risk reduction to a real-world population.
- To investigate the impact of missing data and standardization methods on trial outcome generalizability.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) database (2001-2014) for a real-world population.
- Employed multiple imputation for missing baseline characteristics in the CPRD.
- Weighted and standardized JUPITER trial participants to represent the CPRD population.
Main Results:
- The JUPITER trial showed a 3-year cardiovascular risk difference of -2.0% with rosuvastatin.
- Standardizing to the imputed CPRD population yielded a 3-year risk difference of -2.7% (95% CI: -5.8, 0.4).
- Standardizing to the CPRD population without missing data resulted in a 3-year risk difference of -1.7% (95% CI: -3.5, 0.1).
Conclusions:
- Real-world effectiveness of rosuvastatin in the JUPITER-eligible population may differ from trial findings.
- This study highlights methods for assessing trial generalizability using real-world data, addressing challenges posed by missing data.
- Further research is needed to confirm statin benefits in diverse, real-world patient cohorts.
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