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A New Approach to Predict user Mobility Using Semantic Analysis and Machine Learning.

Roshan Fernandes1, Rio D'Souza G L2

  • 1Department of Computer Science and Engineering, NMAM Institute of Technology, Udupi District, Nitte, Karnataka, 574110, India. roshan_nmamit@nitte.edu.in.

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This study introduces a framework for predicting user mobility, even without historical data. The novel approach accurately forecasts future locations using Short Message Service (SMS) and geological coordinates, outperforming traditional models.

Keywords:
Global Positioning System (GPS) coordinatesInstantaneous predictionMarkov chain modelMobility predictionNaïve Bayesian classifierShort Message Service (SMS)

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Area of Science:

  • Computer Science
  • Telecommunications Engineering

Background:

  • Mobility prediction is crucial for seamless network handovers and location-based services.
  • Existing methods often rely on extensive user mobility history, limiting their applicability.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a framework for user mobility prediction with and without historical data.
  • To evaluate the effectiveness of using Short Message Service (SMS) and geological coordinates for mobility prediction in data-scarce scenarios.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Naïve Bayesian classification and Markov Models for predictions with mobility history.
  • Employed Short Message Service (SMS) data and instantaneous geological coordinates for predictions in the absence of mobility history.
  • Compared proposed techniques against the standard Markov Chain model.

Main Results:

  • The proposed framework demonstrates superior performance by integrating spatial and temporal information.
  • Accurate user future location prediction was achieved even without prior mobility patterns.
  • The method shows significant promise for real-world applications like predicting medical rescue vehicle movements.

Conclusions:

  • The developed framework offers a robust solution for mobility prediction, adaptable to varying data availability.
  • Integrating diverse data sources like SMS and geological coordinates enhances prediction accuracy.
  • The approach has practical implications for optimizing logistics and emergency response systems.