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["Handle with care": about the potential unintended consequences of oracular artificial intelligence systems in
Federico Cabitza1, Camilla Alderighi2, Raffaele Rasoini3
1IRCCS Istituto Ortopedico Galeazzi, Milano - Dipartimento di Informatica, Sistemistica e Comunicazione, Università di Milano-Bicocca, Milano - Florence EBM/Renaissance Group.
Abstract:
Decisional support systems based on machine learning (ML) in medicine are gaining a growing interest as some recent articles have highlighted the high diagnostic accuracy exhibited by these systems in specific medical contexts. However, it is implausible that any potential advantage can be obtained without some potential drawbacks. In light of the current gaps in medical research about the side effects of the application of these new AI systems in medical practice, in this article we summarize the main unexpected consequences that may result from the widespread application of "oracular" systems, that is highly accurate systems that cannot give reasonable explanations of their advice as those endowed with predictive models developed with ML techniques usually are. These consequences range from the intrinsic uncertainty in the data that are used to train and feed these systems, to the inadequate explainability of their output; through the risk of overreliance, deskilling and context desensitization of their end-users. Although some of these issues may be currently hard to evaluate due to the still scarce adoption of these decisional systems in medical practice, we advocate the study of these potential consequences also for a more informed policy of approval beyond hype and disenchantment.
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