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Patterns of transmission in measles outbreaks in the United States, 1985-1986
L E Markowitz1, S R Preblud, W A Orenstein
1Division of Immunization, Centers for Disease Control, Atlanta, GA 30333.
Abstract:
Since the licensing of measles vaccine in 1963, the incidence of reported measles in the United States has declined to less than 2 percent of previous levels. To characterize the current epidemiology of measles in the United States, we analyzed measles outbreaks that occurred during 1985 and 1986. There were 152 outbreaks (defined as five or more cases related epidemiologically), which accounted for 88 percent of the cases reported during those two years. There were two major types of outbreaks: those in which most of the cases occurred among preschool-age children (those under 5 years of age) (26 percent) and those in which most of the cases occurred among school-age persons (those 5 to 19 years of age) (67 percent). The outbreaks among preschool-age children ranged in size from 5 to 945 cases (median, 13); a median of only 14 percent of the cases occurred in vaccinated persons, and a median of 45 percent of the cases were classified as preventable according to the current strategy. Outbreaks among school-age persons ranged in size from 5 to 363 cases (median, 25); a median of 60 percent of the cases occurred in vaccinated persons, and a median of only 27 percent of the cases were preventable. The outbreaks among preschool-age children indicate deficiencies in the implementation of the national measles-elimination strategy. However, the extent of measles transmission among highly vaccinated school-age populations suggests that additional strategies, such as selective or mass revaccination, may be necessary to prevent such outbreaks.
Insights
Measles outbreaks in the US during 1985-1986 primarily affected preschool and school-aged children. Outbreaks in younger children revealed issues with measles vaccine strategy implementation, while outbreaks in older children suggested a need for revaccination strategies.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Vaccinology
Background:
- Measles incidence significantly decreased post-1963 vaccine licensing.
- Understanding current measles epidemiology is crucial for elimination strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze measles outbreaks in the US during 1985-1986.
- To identify patterns and contributing factors in measles transmission.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 152 reported measles outbreaks (≥5 cases) from 1985-1986.
- Categorization of outbreaks based on predominant age groups: preschool (<5 years) and school-age (5-19 years).
- Assessment of vaccination status and preventability within outbreak cases.
Main Results:
- Two main outbreak types: preschool-age (26%) and school-age (67%).
- Preschool outbreaks: low vaccination rates (median 14%), high preventability (median 45%).
- School-age outbreaks: high vaccination rates (median 60%), low preventability (median 27%), indicating transmission in vaccinated populations.
Conclusions:
- Preschool outbreaks highlight gaps in measles vaccine strategy implementation.
- Widespread measles transmission in vaccinated school-aged populations necessitates exploring additional strategies like revaccination.