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Split Probabilities and Species Tree Inference Under the Multispecies Coalescent Model.

Elizabeth S Allman1, James H Degnan2, John A Rhodes3

  • 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Alaska Fairbanks, P.O. Box 756660, Fairbanks, AK, 99775, USA.

Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
|November 12, 2017
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Summary

Topological summaries of gene trees offer fast species tree inference. Split invariants derived from gene tree probabilities can identify the rooted species tree topology for 5+ taxa.

Keywords:
Multispecies coalescent modelSpecies tree identifiabilitySplit probability

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Area of Science:

  • Phylogenetics
  • Computational Biology
  • Evolutionary Biology

Background:

  • Species tree inference from gene trees is crucial for understanding evolutionary relationships.
  • Topological summaries of gene trees offer computational advantages over traditional methods.
  • The multispecies coalescent model is a standard framework for gene tree analysis.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the utility of split probabilities from gene trees for inferring species tree topology.
  • To explore the mathematical properties of splits within the multispecies coalescent model.
  • To determine if rooted species tree information can be recovered from unrooted gene tree splits.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of split probabilities under the multispecies coalescent model.
  • Investigation of split consensus methods.
  • Identification and application of split invariants (polynomial relationships between split probabilities).

Main Results:

  • Split probabilities under the multispecies coalescent model contain information about species tree topology.
  • Split invariants were derived and analyzed.
  • It was demonstrated that rooted species tree topology can be identified from split probabilities for trees with 5 or more taxa, with a potential exception for 6 taxa.

Conclusions:

  • Topological summaries of gene trees, specifically split probabilities, are valuable for species tree inference.
  • Split invariants provide a powerful tool for analyzing gene tree data.
  • This approach offers a way to infer rooted species trees, overcoming limitations of unrooted methods for larger datasets.