Association of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin I Concentration With Cardiac Outcomes in Patients With Suspected

Andrew R Chapman1, Kuan Ken Lee1, David A McAllister2

  • 1BHF Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland.

JAMA
|November 12, 2017
PubMed

Insights

A high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I level below 5 ng/L effectively identifies low-risk patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome. This threshold demonstrates a high negative predictive value for myocardial infarction or cardiac death within 30 days.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Biomarkers
  • Diagnostic Accuracy

Background:

  • High-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) is crucial for diagnosing acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
  • A hs-cTnI concentration <5 ng/L is often used to identify low-risk patients, but its optimal threshold for risk stratification remains uncertain.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the performance of a hs-cTnI threshold of 5 ng/L for risk stratification in patients with suspected ACS.
  • To determine the accuracy of this threshold in predicting myocardial infarction or cardiac death.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic literature search of major databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane, Web of Science) from 2006 to 2017.
  • Meta-analysis of 19 prospective cohorts including 22,457 patients, with individual patient-level data from 17 cohorts.
  • Evaluation of hs-cTnI concentrations across a range of 2-16 ng/L to assess risk stratification performance.

Main Results:

  • A hs-cTnI concentration <5 ng/L was observed in 49% of patients (11,012/22,457).
  • This low hs-cTnI group had a 99.5% negative predictive value (95% CI, 99.3%-99.6%) for the primary outcome (myocardial infarction or cardiac death within 30 days).
  • No cardiac deaths occurred within 30 days in this low-risk group, with a 99.9% negative predictive value for cardiac death at 1 year.

Conclusions:

  • A hs-cTnI concentration <5 ng/L reliably identifies patients with suspected ACS who are at low risk of 30-day myocardial infarction or cardiac death.
  • Further research is recommended to explore the clinical utility and cost-effectiveness of this risk stratification strategy.
  • The findings support the use of a 5 ng/L hs-cTnI threshold for ruling out ACS in select patient populations.
Abstract

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