Association of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin I Concentration With Cardiac Outcomes in Patients With Suspected
Andrew R Chapman1, Kuan Ken Lee1, David A McAllister2
1BHF Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, Scotland.
A high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I level below 5 ng/L effectively identifies low-risk patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome. This threshold demonstrates a high negative predictive value for myocardial infarction or cardiac death within 30 days.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
- Diagnostic Accuracy
Background:
- High-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) is crucial for diagnosing acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
- A hs-cTnI concentration <5 ng/L is often used to identify low-risk patients, but its optimal threshold for risk stratification remains uncertain.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the performance of a hs-cTnI threshold of 5 ng/L for risk stratification in patients with suspected ACS.
- To determine the accuracy of this threshold in predicting myocardial infarction or cardiac death.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of major databases (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane, Web of Science) from 2006 to 2017.
- Meta-analysis of 19 prospective cohorts including 22,457 patients, with individual patient-level data from 17 cohorts.
- Evaluation of hs-cTnI concentrations across a range of 2-16 ng/L to assess risk stratification performance.
Main Results:
- A hs-cTnI concentration <5 ng/L was observed in 49% of patients (11,012/22,457).
- This low hs-cTnI group had a 99.5% negative predictive value (95% CI, 99.3%-99.6%) for the primary outcome (myocardial infarction or cardiac death within 30 days).
- No cardiac deaths occurred within 30 days in this low-risk group, with a 99.9% negative predictive value for cardiac death at 1 year.
Conclusions:
- A hs-cTnI concentration <5 ng/L reliably identifies patients with suspected ACS who are at low risk of 30-day myocardial infarction or cardiac death.
- Further research is recommended to explore the clinical utility and cost-effectiveness of this risk stratification strategy.
- The findings support the use of a 5 ng/L hs-cTnI threshold for ruling out ACS in select patient populations.
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