Prognostic value of bone scan index as an imaging biomarker in metastatic prostate cancer: a meta-analysis

The prognostic value of the bone scan index (BSI) in metastatic prostate cancer (mPCa) remained controversial. Therefore, we performed a meta-analysis to determine the predictive value of BSI and survival in patients with mPCa.

A literature search was performed in PubMed, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane library databases. Hazard ratios (HRs), concordance indices (C-indices) were extracted to estimate the relationship between BSI and survival in patients with mPCa. Subgroup analyses were conducted on different types of mPCa, ethnics, cut-off values and sample sizes.

14 high quality studies involving 1295 patients with mPCa were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled results indicated that high basline BSI and elevated BSI change on treatment (ΔBSI) were significantly predictive of poor overall survial (HR = 1.29, P < 0.001; HR = 1.27, P < 0.001, respectively). Baseline BSI was also significantly related to cancer specific survival (HR = 1.65, P = 0.019) and prostate specific antigen recurrence survival (HR = 2.26, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis supported main results. Moreover, BSI could increase the C-indices of predictive models.

Baseline BSI and ΔBSI may be beneficial to mPCa prognosis in clinical monitor and treatment. Further high quality studies with larger sample size are required in the future.