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Do Live Discharge Rates Increase as Hospices Approach Their Medicare Aggregate Payment Caps?
Rachel Dolin1, Pam Silberman2, Denise A Kirk3
1David A. Winston Health Policy Fellowship.
Insights
Hospices nearing Medicare aggregate payment caps showed increased live patient discharges. This suggests financial incentives may influence end-of-life care decisions, impacting patient outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Healthcare policy
- Gerontology
- Palliative care
Background:
- Medicare aggregate payment caps aim to limit hospice expenditures.
- Increased live discharges and cap exceedances have drawn federal attention.
- Potential financial incentives may influence hospice discharge practices.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate trends in hospice aggregate cap risk.
- To examine the relationship between cap risk and live discharge rates.
- To test the hypothesis that higher cap risk correlates with increased live discharges.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of monthly hospice outcomes.
- Utilized Medicare claims data from 2012-2013.
- Employed adjusted statistical analyses.
Main Results:
- A statistically significant positive association was found between cap risk and live discharges.
- Hospices closer to exceeding their aggregate cap demonstrated higher rates of live discharges.
Conclusions:
- The study highlights a potential unintended consequence of the Medicare aggregate cap policy.
- Policymakers should evaluate the impact of aggregate caps on patient care and outcomes.
- Further consideration of financial incentives in hospice care is warranted.
Context:
The rate of live discharge from hospice and the proportion of hospices exceeding their aggregate caps have both increased for the last 15 years, becoming a source of federal scrutiny. The cap restricts aggregate payments hospices receive from Medicare during a 12-month period. The risk of repayment and the manner in which the cap is calculated may incentivize hospices coming close to their cap ceilings to discharge existing patients before the end of the cap year.
Objective:
The objective of this work was to explore annual cap-risk trends and live discharge patterns. We hypothesized that as a hospice comes closer to exceeding its cap, a patient's likelihood of being discharged alive increases.
Methods:
We analyzed monthly hospice outcomes using 2012-2013 Medicare claims.
Results:
Adjusted analyses showed a positive and statistically significant relationship between cap risk and live discharges.
Conclusion:
Policymakers ought to consider the unintended consequences the aggregate cap may be having on patient outcomes of care.
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