Predicting the outcome of exploratory laparotomy in ICU patients with sepsis or organ failure

Critically ill patients with sepsis and/or organ failure are difficult to assess. They are often comatose or on steroids and many nonspecific findings such as fever, positive blood cultures, or septic shock which may suggest intra-abdominal sepsis are far from diagnostic. To determine whether decision making regarding the use of laparotomy in these patients could be improved upon, we reviewed our experience with consecutive intensive care unit patients who had laparotomy and we related laparotomy outcome to clinical signs and symptoms. Seventy-three per cent of the 100 laparotomies reviewed were positive for intra-abdominal sepsis. A discriminant function analysis revealed that eight factors in combination predicted laparotomy outcome. However, the overall accuracy of the discriminant function prediction (76.8%) offered little improvement over the policy in place for performing laparotomies in this group of patients at the participating hospitals during the time period of our investigation.