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Was the Mw 7.5 1952 Kern County, California, earthquake induced (or triggered)?
Susan E Hough1, Victor C Tsai2, Robert Walker3
1U.S. Geological Survey, Pasadena, CA USA.
The 1952 Kern County earthquake may have been induced by oil production at the Wheeler Ridge oil field. A model suggests a nearby splay fault blocked pore pressure changes, allowing production to destabilize the White Wolf fault.
Area of Science:
- Seismology
- Earthquake Engineering
- Petroleum Geology
Background:
- Oil production and wastewater injection have been linked to induced seismicity in oil-producing regions.
- The 1952 Kern County earthquake (Mw 7.5) occurred near the Wheeler Ridge oil field.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the potential causal relationship between oil production and the 1952 Kern County earthquake.
- To explore a mechanism by which oil production could induce significant seismic events near major faults.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of spatial and temporal proximity between oil production and the earthquake.
- Development of an analytical model incorporating industry stratigraphic data and poroelastic stress changes.
- Simulation of fault behavior under production-induced stress variations.
Main Results:
- The mainshock occurred 98 days after initial oil production began.
- A model demonstrated how an impermeable splay fault could prevent normal pore pressure dissipation.
- Poroelastic stress changes from production could destabilize the White Wolf fault (WWF).
Conclusions:
- Oil production at Wheeler Ridge is a plausible trigger for the 1952 Kern County earthquake.
- A blocked pore pressure pathway is a key factor in production-induced seismicity near major faults.
- This mechanism explains why large earthquakes are not commonly induced by production near major faults.
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