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Predictive Validity of CRUSADE, ACTION and ACUITY-HORIZONS Bleeding Risk Scores in Chinese Patients With ST-Segment
Ran Liu1, Wen Zheng1, Guanqi Zhao1
1Emergency and Critical Care Centre, Beijing An Zhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart Lung and Blood Vessel Disease.
Insights
The CRUSADE and ACTION bleeding scores are more predictive of major bleeding in Chinese STEMI patients undergoing PPCI than the ACUITY-HORIZONS score. Risk stratification accurately predicts mortality.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Research
- Medical Informatics
Background:
- Existing bleeding risk scores (CRUSADE, ACTION, ACUITY-HORIZONS) were developed in Caucasian populations.
- Their predictive performance in Chinese patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive ability of CRUSADE, ACTION, and ACUITY-HORIZONS bleeding scores in Chinese STEMI patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI).
- To assess the prognostic value of these scores for 1-year mortality.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 2,208 consecutive Chinese STEMI patients undergoing PPCI.
- Major bleeding events defined by Bleeding Academic Research Consortium (BARC) criteria (type 3 or 5).
- Logistic regression and Area Under the Curve (AUC) used to assess predictive ability; Cox proportional hazard modeling for mortality.
Main Results:
- The overall major bleeding rate was 2.4%.
- AUC values were: CRUSADE 0.88, ACTION 0.90, and ACUITY-HORIZONS 0.78.
- The ACUITY-HORIZONS score showed unacceptable calibration. Both CRUSADE and ACTION scores demonstrated superior predictive ability for major bleeding compared to ACUITY-HORIZONS.
- High-risk stratification by CRUSADE and ACTION scores was associated with a 4-7 fold increase in 1-year mortality.
Conclusions:
- CRUSADE and ACTION bleeding scores demonstrate superior predictive accuracy for major bleeding in Chinese STEMI patients undergoing PPCI compared to the ACUITY-HORIZONS score.
- These scores effectively stratify risk, indicating increased 1-year mortality from low- to high-risk categories.
Background:
The CRUSADE, ACTION and ACUITY-HORIZONS bleeding scores have been derived using Caucasian patients, and little is known about which has the better predictive ability in Chinese patients, especially for patients with STEMI.
Methods And Results:
We retrospectively analyzed 2,208 consecutive STEMI patients undergoing primary PCI (PPCI). Major bleeding events were defined according to Bleeding Academic Research Consortium criteria (type 3 or 5). Predictive ability of the 3 scores was assessed using logistic regression and AUC. Unadjusted HR for 1-year death were determined on Cox proportional hazard modeling. The major bleeding rate was 2.4%. The AUC of the CRUSADE, ACTION and ACUTIY-HORIZONS models was 0.88 (95% CI: 0.84-0.92), 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.94), and 0.78 (95% CI: 0.87-0.94). The calibration of the ACUTIY-HORIZONS model was not acceptable overall, or in the subgroup of access site (P<0.05). In the high-risk category, 1-year mortality was approximately 4-7-fold greater than in the low-risk category (CRUSADE: HR, 7.27; 95% CI: 3.30-16.02, P<0.001; ACTION: HR, 7.13; 95% CI: 2.19-15.41, P<0.001; ACUITY-HORIZONS: HR, 4.06; 95% CI: 1.62-10.16; P=0.003).
Conclusions:
The CRUSADE and ACTION scores have greater predictive ability for in-hospital major bleeding than the ACUITY-HORIZONS risk score in Chinese STEMI patients undergoing PPCI. Mortality would increase with the transition from low- to high-risk category in 1 year.
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