Relation between dynamic changes of platelet counts and 30-day mortality in severely burned patients

Thrombocytopenia is a common event in severely burned patients and associated with adverse outcome. The underlying relationship between the dynamic changes of platelet counts and mortality has not been well defined. We performed a 6-year retrospective chart of adult patients with a burn index of 50 or greater admitted to two burn centers and collected data on patient demographics, laboratory results, and patient outcomes. The mean daily increase in the platelet count (∆PC/∆t) from day 3 to day 10 was calculated, and 30-day mortality was determined. For the study, 141 survivors and 65 nonsurvivors were enrolled. The sequential changes in PCs presented a biphasic pattern after admission, with a slump to the nadir during the first 3 days and a subsequent recovery. With respect to 30-day mortality, compared with the AUC of APACHE-Ⅱ score (0.841), no significant difference was noted between ΔPC/ΔT and APACHE-Ⅱ score (p = 0.0648). The ΔPC/ΔT associated with the best discrimination between survivors and nonsurvivors was 20.57 × 10⁹/L due to the cutoff with optimal Youden index (0.453). By multiple logistic regression, ΔPC/ΔT ＜ 20.57 × 10⁹/L was one of the prognostic predictors of 30-day mortality. Furthermore, Kaplan-Meier estimates of hospital survival according to the size of ΔPC/ΔT revealed that a blunted increase with ΔPC/ΔT ＜ 20.57 × 10⁹/L was associated with increased 30-day mortality. A blunted daily increase in PCs, especially ΔPC/ΔT < 20.57 × 10⁹/L, is associated with increased 30-day mortality, which provides prognostic information for mortality risk assessment in severely burned patients.