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Using alcohol expectancies to predict adolescent drinking behavior after one year.

B A Christiansen, G T Smith, P V Roehling

    Journal of Consulting and Clinical Psychology
    |February 1, 1989
    PubMed
    Summary
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    Early adolescent alcohol expectancies predict future drinking behaviors. These findings suggest expectancies may causally influence adolescent alcohol use, informing prevention strategies.

    Area of Science:

    • Psychology
    • Adolescent Health
    • Substance Use Research

    Background:

    • Childhood experiences influence adult alcohol consumption.
    • Alcohol expectancies may link early experiences to later drinking decisions.
    • Previous studies lacked longitudinal data on expectancies and drinking onset.

    Purpose of the Study:

    • To investigate the predictive power of early adolescent alcohol expectancies on subsequent drinking onset and behavior.
    • To examine expectancies as a potential causal factor in adolescent alcohol use.
    • To provide evidence for targeted prevention strategies.

    Main Methods:

    • Longitudinal study design.
    • Measurement of alcohol expectancies in early adolescents (7th and 8th graders).

    Related Experiment Videos

  • Assessment of self-reported drinking onset and behavior one year later.
  • Main Results:

    • Five of seven expectancy scores significantly predicted problem drinking onset.
    • Alcohol expectancies accounted for substantial variance in quantity/frequency and problem drinking indices.
    • Strong time-lagged relationships were observed between expectancies and drinking outcomes.

    Conclusions:

    • Early adolescent alcohol expectancies are significant predictors of future drinking behavior.
    • Findings support the causal role of expectancies in adolescent alcohol use.
    • Results have implications for developing effective adolescent alcohol prevention programs.