Trajectories of Circulating Monocyte Subsets After ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction During Hospitalization: Latent

Shan Zeng1, Li-Fang Yan1, Yan-Wei Luo1

  • 1Tianjin Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Remodeling and Target Organ Injury, Pingjin Hospital Heart Center, 220, Chenglin Street, Dongli District, Tianjin, 300162, China.

Insights

Distinct monocyte trajectories during ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) hospitalization predict adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Latent class growth modeling identified a high-hump trajectory linked to increased risk, aiding risk stratification.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Medicine
  • Immunology
  • Biomarker Research

Background:

  • The predictive value of inflammatory biomarker developmental trajectories in acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) remains uncertain.
  • Assessing longitudinal changes in specific monocyte subsets may offer novel prognostic insights.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the association between developmental trajectories of CD14++CD16+ monocytes and cardiovascular outcomes in STEMI patients.
  • To determine if latent class growth modeling (LCGM) of monocyte patterns can improve risk stratification post-STEMI.

Main Methods:

  • Latent class growth modeling (LCGM) was applied to serial flow cytometry data of CD14++CD16+ monocytes from day 1 to day 7 post-STEMI onset.
  • The study included 96 de novo STEMI patients who underwent primary percutaneous coronary intervention.
  • Prediction models were compared with and without the inclusion of monocyte trajectory data.

Main Results:

  • Three distinct CD14++CD16+ monocyte trajectories were identified.
  • Membership in the high-hump-shaped trajectory (16.8% of patients) independently predicted adverse cardiovascular outcomes over 2.5 years.
  • Incorporating monocyte trajectories significantly improved the area under the curve (AUC) of a prediction model based on left ventricular ejection fraction (ΔAUC = 0.093, P = 0.013).

Conclusions:

  • Longitudinal trajectories of CD14++CD16+ monocytes during STEMI hospitalization represent a novel risk factor for adverse post-STEMI outcomes.
  • LCGM-based analysis of inflammatory marker dynamics offers a promising approach for risk stratification in acute myocardial infarction.

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