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Estimating HIV Incidence Rates among MSM in an Urban Area of Chongqing Using Three Approaches
Mei Han1, Ping Liang Pan2, Guo Hui Wu3
1Department of Laboratory Medicine, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University, Chongqing 400038, China; Department of AIDS/STDs Control and Prevention, Chongqing Municipal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Chongqing 400042, China.
Abstract:
To evaluate the HIV pandemic in Chongqing, the pooled PCR, IgG-capture BED enzyme immunoassay (BED-CEIA), and cohort observations were used to estimate the HIV incidences among men who have sex with men (MSM). 617 MSM subjects completed the survey at a voluntary counseling and testing (VCT) site. The observed HIV incidence was 12.5 per 100 P-Ys (95% CI = 9.1-15.7). The annual acute HIV infection (AHI) incidence estimated by pooled PCR was 14.0% (95% CI = 10.9-17.1). The HIV-1 annual incidence estimated based on the BED-CEIA was 12.0% (95% CI = 7.5-16.5). The HIV incidences estimated by these three approaches were consistent and complementary. The HIV incidence rates were alarmingly high with an uptrend among the urban MSM of Chongqing.
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