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Published on: July 11, 2013
Intermittent treatment of severe influenza
Lucas Deecke1, Hana M Dobrovolny2
1Institut für Theoretische Physik, Universität zu Köln, Cologne, Germany.
Abstract:
Severe, long-lasting influenza infections are often caused by new strains of the virus. The long duration of these infections leads to an increased opportunity for the emergence of drug resistant mutants. This is particularly problematic since for new strains there is often no vaccine, so drug treatment is the first line of defense. One strategy for trying to minimize drug resistance is to apply drugs periodically. During treatment phases the wild-type virus decreases, but resistant virus might increase; when there is no treatment, wild-type virus will hopefully out-compete the resistant virus, driving down the number of resistant virus. A stochastic model of severe influenza is combined with a model of drug resistance to simulate long-lasting infections and intermittent treatment with two types of antivirals: neuraminidase inhibitors, which block release of virions; and adamantanes, which block replication of virions. Each drug's ability to reduce emergence of drug resistant mutants is investigated. We find that cell regeneration is required for successful implementation of intermittent treatment and that the optimal cycling parameters change with regeneration rate.
Insights
Intermittent antiviral treatment can minimize drug-resistant influenza mutants. Successful strategies depend on cell regeneration rates, requiring adjusted cycling parameters for effective viral load reduction.
Area of Science:
- Virology
- Mathematical Biology
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Severe influenza strains can lead to prolonged infections, increasing the risk of drug-resistant mutant emergence.
- Antiviral drugs are crucial for treating new influenza strains lacking vaccines, but resistance is a significant concern.
- Intermittent drug application is a strategy to combat antiviral resistance by alternating treatment and non-treatment phases.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the efficacy of intermittent antiviral treatment in minimizing drug-resistant influenza mutants.
- To evaluate the impact of two antiviral classes—neuraminidase inhibitors and adamantanes—on resistance emergence.
- To determine the role of cell regeneration in the success of intermittent treatment strategies.
Main Methods:
- A stochastic model simulating severe influenza infections was combined with a drug resistance model.
- Simulations explored intermittent treatment with neuraminidase inhibitors and adamantanes.
- The influence of varying cell regeneration rates on treatment outcomes was analyzed.
Main Results:
- Intermittent antiviral treatment can reduce the emergence of drug-resistant influenza mutants.
- Cell regeneration is a critical factor for the successful implementation of intermittent treatment.
- Optimal cycling parameters for intermittent therapy are dependent on the rate of cell regeneration.
Conclusions:
- Intermittent antiviral therapy presents a viable strategy to manage drug resistance in severe influenza.
- The effectiveness of intermittent treatment is intrinsically linked to host cell regeneration dynamics.
- Tailoring treatment schedules based on regeneration rates is essential for maximizing antiviral efficacy and minimizing resistance.
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