Association between Medicare high-risk criteria and outcomes after carotid revascularization procedures

Caitlin W Hicks1, Besma Nejim1, Satinderjit Locham1

  • 1Division of Vascular Surgery and Endovascular Therapy, Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Md.

Insights

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) high-risk criteria for carotid artery stenting (CAS) may overestimate benefits in high-risk patients and underappreciate utility in normal-risk patients. Re-evaluation of these criteria and national guidelines for CAS indications is needed.

Area of Science:

  • Vascular Surgery
  • Health Services Research
  • Clinical Trial Analysis

Background:

  • The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) established high-risk criteria for carotid artery stenting (CAS).
  • These criteria have not undergone validation to assess their accuracy in patient selection.
  • This study validates the CMS high-risk criteria in a large, national cohort.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To validate the CMS high-risk criteria for patient selection in carotid revascularization procedures.
  • To compare stroke outcomes between CAS and carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in normal-risk and high-risk patient groups.
  • To inform national guidelines regarding the indications for CAS.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the Vascular Quality Initiative (VQI) database from 2013-2016.
  • Included patients undergoing CAS (with embolic protection) or CEA.
  • Stratified patients into normal-risk (Nr) and high-risk (Hr) groups based on CMS criteria and used matching techniques for outcome comparison.

Main Results:

  • A total of 51,942 patients were analyzed (CAS: 7030, CEA: 44,912).
  • Crude analysis showed higher 30-day and 2-year stroke rates for CAS versus CEA in both Nr and Hr groups.
  • After matching, stroke risk remained higher for CAS in the Hr group, but was similar between CAS and CEA in the Nr group.

Conclusions:

  • The CMS criteria may overestimate the benefit of CAS in high-risk patients.
  • The utility of CAS in normal-risk patients might be underestimated.
  • Re-evaluation of CMS high-risk criteria and national guidelines for CAS indications is recommended.
Abstract

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