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Predictors of Severity in Pediatric Scrub Typhus
Dinesh Kumar Narayanasamy1, Thirunavukkarasu Arun Babu2, Vijayasankar Vijayadevagaran1
1Department of Pediatrics, Indira Gandhi Medical College and Research Institute (IGMC&RI), Pondicherry, India.
Insights
Five key factors predict severe scrub typhus in children: breathlessness, altered sensorium, leucocytosis, hypoalbuminemia, and hyponatremia. Early identification aids in timely intervention for better outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Infectious Diseases
- Epidemiology
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Scrub typhus is a significant cause of febrile illness in children in endemic areas.
- Identifying predictors of severe scrub typhus is crucial for risk stratification and management.
- Current criteria for severe scrub typhus in children are adapted from adult studies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine clinical and laboratory factors that predict the severity of scrub typhus in pediatric patients.
- To identify specific indicators for early recognition of severe cases in children.
Main Methods:
- A prospective study conducted in a tertiary care hospital from November 2014 to October 2016.
- Included children under 12 years old with fever >7 days and positive IgM ELISA for scrub typhus.
- Utilized multivariate analysis to identify significant predictors of severe scrub typhus based on established criteria.
Main Results:
- Out of 230 children with scrub typhus, 91 (40.6%) had severe disease.
- Multivariate analysis identified five significant predictors: breathlessness (OR: 6.85), altered sensorium (OR: 11.48), leucocytosis (OR: 3.38), hypoalbuminemia (OR: 10.78), and hyponatremia (OR: 10.08).
- These factors were strongly associated with severe scrub typhus in the pediatric cohort.
Conclusions:
- Breathlessness, altered sensorium, leucocytosis, hypoalbuminemia, and hyponatremia are significant predictors of severe scrub typhus in children.
- These findings can assist clinicians in identifying high-risk pediatric patients requiring intensive monitoring and prompt treatment.
- Early recognition of these warning signs is vital for improving patient outcomes in childhood scrub typhus.
Objective:
To identify the factors that can predict the severity of scrub typhus in children.
Methods:
This prospective study was conducted at a tertiary care teaching hospital between November 2014 to October 2016. All children <12y of age admitted with fever for more than 7d and positive IgM ELISA for scrub typhus were included in the study. These children were followed during the hospital course and their laboratory results, response to treatment and complications were documented. Cases of 'severe scrub typhus' were identified based on criteria from published adult and pediatric studies.
Results:
Out of 930 children with fever for more than 7d, IgM ELISA for scrub typhus was positive in 230 children. Ninety one (40.6%) cases fulfilled the criteria of 'severe scrub typhus' in children. Out of 45 factors, 27 potential factors were studied. The multivariate analysis identified 5 factors, breathlessness (OR: 6.85, 95%CI: 2.69 to 9.87), altered sensorium (OR: 11.48, 95% CI 3.43 to 10.19), leucocytosis (OR: 3.38, 95% CI 1.12 to 10.16), hypoalbuminemia (OR: 10.78, 95% CI 2.66 to 48.76), and hyponatremia (OR: 10.08, 95% CI 2.11 to 23.42) to be significantly associated with the 'severe scrub typhus' cases.
Conclusions:
Breathlessness, altered sensorium, leucocytosis, hypoalbuminemia, and hyponatremia predict severity in childhood scrub typhus. Presence of these factors should alert the treating physician regarding the need for intensive monitoring, treatment or referral.
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