Intracranial arterial calcifications as a prognostic factor for subsequent major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE)

Intracranial arterial calcifications (ICAC) are often detected on unenhanced CT of patients with an age > 60. However, association with the subsequent occurrence of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has not yet been evaluated.

This study aimed at evaluating the association of ICAC with subsequent MACE and overall mortality.

In this retrospective, IRB approved study, we included 175 consecutive patients (89 males, mean age 78.3 ± 8.5 years) of age > 60 years who underwent an unenhanced CT of the head due to minor trauma or neurological disorders. Presence of ICAC was determined in seven intracranial arteries using a semi-quantitative scale, which resulted in the calcified plaque score (CPS). Clinical follow-up information was obtained by questionnaires and telephone interviews. MACE was defined as myocardial infarction or revascularization, stroke or death due to cardiovascular event.

Mean follow-up time was 39.8 ± 7.8 months, resulting in 579.7 patient-years of follow-up. Overall, 36 MACE occurred during follow-up (annual event rate = 6.2%/year). Mean CPS was significantly higher in subjects with MACE during follow-up compared to subjects without MACE (p < 0.01). In 15 patients CPS was 0; in none of these patients MACE was registered. Kaplan-Meier-analysis revealed that patients with a low plaque burden (CPS < 5) had a significant longer MACE-free and overall survival than patients with a high plaque burden (CPS ≥ 5) (p < 0.01).

Patients with ICAC have an increased risk for future cardio- or cerebrovascular events. Therefore, ICAC might be a prognostic factor to determine the risk for these events in older patients.