Related Experiment Video
Updated: Feb 14, 2026

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
Prognostic value of suPAR and hs-CRP on cardiovascular disease
Marie Zöga Diederichsen1, Søren Zöga Diederichsen2, Hans Mickley1
1Department of Cardiology, Odense University Hospital, J.B. Winsløws Vej 4, DK-5000 Odense C, Denmark.
Insights
Soluble urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR) and CRP, while associated with cardiovascular events, offered minor predictive value beyond traditional risk factors and CAC scores in this study.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
- Risk Prediction
Background:
- Cardiovascular (CV) disease remains a leading cause of mortality.
- Soluble urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR), C-reactive protein (CRP), and coronary artery calcification (CAC) are recognized as independent CV disease risk predictors.
- The incremental prognostic value of suPAR and CRP beyond established risk factors and CAC requires further investigation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the added predictive value of suPAR and CRP in cardiovascular risk assessment.
- To determine if suPAR and CRP improve risk stratification beyond traditional CV risk factors and CAC scores.
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 1179 subjects without pre-existing CV disease was analyzed.
- Traditional CV risk factors, CAC scores, and plasma levels of suPAR and CRP were assessed.
- Cardiovascular events were tracked for 6.5 years using national health registers.
- Statistical analyses included Kaplan Meier, adjusted hazard ratios, and Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) area under the curve (AUC) models.
Main Results:
- suPAR and CRP showed significant associations with CV events in unadjusted analyses (p=0.03 and p=0.002, respectively).
- After adjusting for traditional CV risk factors and CAC score, suPAR and CRP demonstrated minor predictive importance (HRs 1.17 and 1.04).
- suPAR indicated a notable risk in specific subgroups: women (HR 2.03) and individuals aged 60 (HR 1.44).
- ROC AUC analysis indicated that suPAR and CRP did not significantly enhance predictive accuracy compared to traditional factors or CAC score.
Conclusions:
- suPAR and CRP showed limited incremental value for cardiovascular risk prediction when adjusted for traditional risk factors and CAC score.
- While suPAR and CRP are associated with CV events, their role in refining risk stratification in conjunction with established markers is minimal.
Background And Aims:
Studies have shown that soluble urokinase Plasminogen Activator Receptor (suPAR) and CRP (both inflammatory markers) and coronary artery calcification (CAC) are independent risk predictors for cardiovascular (CV) disease. The aim of this study is to assess whether suPAR and CRP have an increased predictive prognostic value beyond the traditional CV risk factors and the CAC score.
Methods:
A population sample of 1179 subjects, free of CV disease was included. The subjects underwent traditional CV risk evaluation, CAC assessment and blood sampling for suPAR and CRP. CV events were extracted from The Danish National Patient Register after 6.5 years. The additive values of suPAR and CRP were evaluated by unadjusted Kaplan Meier analysis, adjusted hazard ratio and ROCAUC models.
Results:
1179 participants (47.6% males, mean age 55 years) were included. 73 events occurred. In Kaplan Meier analyses, suPAR and CRP were significantly associated with CV events (p = 0.03 and p = 0.002). Adjusted for the CV risk factors and the CAC score, the hazard ratios for suPAR and CRP were 1.17 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.34) and 1.04 (95% CI 1.01-1.06), respectively. suPAR was associated with a substantial risk among women (2.03; 95% CI 1.45-2.84) and 60-year-old subjects (1.44; 95% CI 1.09-1.90). By ROCAUC, neither suPAR nor CRP provided significant estimates (0.7100 and 0.7054) compared to the traditionally CV risk factors (0.6952, p = 0.24 and p = 0.16) and CAC score (0.7481, p = 0.33 and p = 0.32).
Conclusions:
Adjusted for traditional CV risk factors and CAC score, suPAR and CRP were of minor importance in risk prediction.
More Related Videos
Related Concept Videos
Blood Studies for Cardiovascular System II: CRP, Hcy, and Cardiac Natriuretic Peptide Markers
These markers indicate stress or strain on the heart muscle:
Natriuretic Peptides (BNP)
Cardiac myocytes produce these hormones in response to ventricular stretching...
Psychoneuroimmunology: Cardiovascular Disease
A key area of focus in PNI is the relationship between stress and coronary...
Overview of the Cardiovascular System
Heart
The heart is the central pump of the cardiovascular system that circulates blood throughout the body. It comprises two atria receiving the blood and two ventricles pumping blood out of the heart. Their rhythmic contractions, called heartbeats, ensure that blood flow remains continuous.
Blood Vessels
Blood...
Regulation of the Cardiovascular System
The regulation of the cardiovascular system involves the autonomic nervous system (ANS), baroreceptors, and chemoreceptors, ensuring that heart rate and blood pressure are appropriately modulated in response to varying physiological demands.
The ANS comprises two main divisions: the sympathetic and parasympathetic nervous systems. The sympathetic nervous system enhances...
Exercise and Cardiovascular Response
Light to moderate physical activity initiates a series of interconnected responses in the body. The heart rate modestly increases in anticipation of the workout, followed by widespread vasodilation as oxygen consumption by skeletal muscles increases. This results in decreased peripheral resistance, increased capillary blood flow, and accelerated...
Assessment of the Cardiovascular System II: Inspection
Head and Neck

