Female babies and risk-aversion: Causal evidence from hospital wards

Ganna Pogrebna1, Andrew J Oswald2, David Haig3

  • 1Birmingham Business School, Department of Economics, University of Birmingham and The Alan Turing Institute, JG Smith Building, Birmingham, B15 2TT, UK and 96 Euston Rd, Kings Cross, London, NW1 2DB, UK.

Insights

Parents become significantly more risk-averse upon learning they will have a daughter, not a son. This effect holds true for both expectant and new parents across different countries and data types.

Area of Science:

  • Behavioral Economics
  • Developmental Psychology
  • Sociology

Background:

  • Parental decision-making and risk-taking behavior are complex.
  • Understanding factors influencing risk aversion is crucial for public health and economic policy.
  • Limited research exists on the specific impact of offspring gender on parental risk attitudes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To provide the first causal evidence that offspring gender influences adult risk aversion.
  • To quantify the magnitude of this effect using a standard economic measure.
  • To explore the consistency of this effect across different demographic and national contexts.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized ultrasound scan data from pediatric hospitals.
  • Employed an "exogenous shock" research design based on the revelation of unborn baby's gender.
  • Applied the standard Holt-Laury criterion to measure risk aversion.

Main Results:

  • Parents of daughters (unborn or newborn) exhibit nearly double the risk aversion compared to parents of sons.
  • This finding was consistent in both longitudinal and cross-sectional data.
  • The effect was observed in both fathers and mothers, for fetuses and newborns, and across West and East European nations.

Conclusions:

  • Offspring gender is a significant determinant of parental risk aversion.
  • These insights can inform our understanding of health behaviors and gender inequalities.
  • The study highlights a novel psychological mechanism linking family structure to economic decision-making.

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