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Published on: August 1, 2025
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Modified predictive score based on frailty for mid-term outcomes in open total aortic arch surgery
Arudo Hiraoka1, Kazuya Saito2, Genta Chikazawa1
1Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Sakakibara Heart Institute of Okayama, Okayama, Japan.
Summary
A new frailty score predicts mid-term survival after surgical total aortic arch replacement (SAR). High-risk patients experienced more complications and lower survival rates, aiding risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Surgery
- Geriatric Medicine
- Surgical Outcomes Research
Background:
- Surgical total aortic arch replacement (SAR) is a complex procedure with variable mid-term survival rates.
- Identifying reliable predictors of post-operative outcomes is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate frailty indices as novel predictors of mid-term survival following elective surgical total aortic arch replacement (SAR).
Main Methods:
- A cohort of 113 patients undergoing elective SAR were assessed for frailty using the Katz index of activities of daily living, nutritional status, skeletal muscle mass, and functional assessments.
- A scoring system was developed based on age, Canadian Study of Health and Aging (CSHA) scale, serum albumin, and Katz index to stratify patients into low-risk and high-risk groups.
Main Results:
- The developed frailty score effectively stratified patients into low-risk (0-5 points) and high-risk (6-9 points) groups.
- High-risk patients demonstrated significantly higher rates of complications, including mobility issues (47.1% vs. 11.5%) and dysphagia (41.2% vs. 13.5%).
- Three-year survival rates were substantially lower in the high-risk group (33.9%) compared to the low-risk group (96.2%).
Conclusions:
- A simple, frailty-based scoring system can accurately stratify mid-term mortality risk in patients undergoing elective surgical total aortic arch replacement.
- This risk stratification tool correlates with postoperative decline in physical function, aiding in clinical decision-making and patient counseling.
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