Prognostic value of circulating biomarker score in advanced-stage head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Circulating biomarker (CB) is a convenient, emerging predictive tool for treatment response and outcomes in human cancers. Therefore, we examined the prognostic value of pre-treatment and early post-treatment CBs and their summated scores in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

This study prospectively included 310 consecutive patients who underwent definitive treatment for previously untreated advanced-stage HNSCC between 2010 and 2015. The CB score was determined by complete blood counts (CBCs) and blood chemistry before and 2 months after the treatment, and the number of abnormal CB was counted from 0 to 10. Univariate and multivariate analyses with Cox proportional hazards models were used to find factors associated with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS).

Most CBC profiles were significantly changed at 2-months post-treatment compared with those at pre-treatment. Univariate analyses showed that hypoalbuminemia, leucocytosis, C-reactive protein, high CB scores (≥6), age, performance status and comorbidity and tumour site were significantly associated with DFS and OS (all P < 0.05). Both pre- and post-treatment CB scores were independent factors predictive of DFS and OS outcomes in the multivariate analyses (P < 0.05). High CB scores at pre-treatment were associated with 7-10-fold increased risk of unfavourable DFS and OS outcomes, and those at 2-months post-treatment were associated with 2 to 4-fold increased risk of poor survival outcomes (all P < 0.05).

CB scores at pre-treatment and early post-treatment are useful for predicting survival outcomes in patients with advanced-stage HNSCC.