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Updated: Feb 14, 2026

Watershed Planning within a Quantitative Scenario Analysis Framework
Published on: July 24, 2016
Towards the development of a modeling framework to track nitrogen export from lowland artificial watersheds (polders)
Jiacong Huang1, George B Arhonditsis2, Junfeng Gao3
1Key Laboratory of Watershed Geographic Sciences, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, 73 East Beijing Road, Nanjing 210008, China; Ecological Modelling Laboratory, Department of Physical & Environmental Sciences, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON M1C 1A4, Canada.
Abstract:
Excess nitrogen (N) export from lowland artificial watersheds (polders) is often assumed to be a major contributor to the cultural eutrophication of downstream aquatic ecosystems. However, the complex transport processes characterizing lowland areas pose significant challenges in accurately quantifying their actual role. In this study, we developed a dynamic model to track N sources and transport pathways in lowland polders. The model is able to accommodate all the unique characteristics of polder dynamics, including artificial drainage, and interactions among surface water, groundwater and soil water. Our model was calibrated and validated against water level data and nitrogen concentrations measured in a lowland polder (Polder Jian) in China during the 2014-2016 period. Model performance was satisfactory with an R2 value of 0.55 and an NS value of 0.53 for total N concentrations. The characterization of the various components of water budget and N cycle derived by the model was on par with local empirical estimates. N export from Polder Jian was approximately 57 kg ha-1 yr-1 and was distinctly higher than values reported from nearby non-polder areas. The largest fraction of N export stemmed from seepage. To our knowledge, this is the first dynamic model to quantify N export from a watershed with artificial drainage network and can be used to design remedial measures of ecosystem degradation.
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