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Updated: Feb 14, 2026

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
Elements of the complete blood count associated with cardiovascular disease incidence: Findings from the EPIC-NL
Camille Lassale1,2, Alyscia Curtis3, Itziar Abete3,4
1Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University College London, 1-19 Torrington Place, London, WC1E 7HB, United Kingdom. c.lassale@ucl.ac.uk.
Insights
Complete blood count (CBC) components, including white blood cells (WBC), mean corpuscular volume (MCV), red cell distribution width (RDW), and platelet count, are associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk. WBCs modestly improve CVD risk prediction in the general population.
Area of Science:
- Hematology
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Complete blood count (CBC) is a routine clinical test.
- The role of CBC parameters as predictors of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is not fully established.
- All blood cell types, including white blood cells (WBC), red blood cells (RBC), and platelets, may influence atherosclerosis.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between pre-diagnostic CBC parameters and the incidence of CVD.
- To evaluate the predictive utility of CBC for future CVD events in an adult population without prior CVD.
Main Methods:
- A prospective cohort study involving 14,362 adults initially free of CVD.
- Participants were followed for a median of 11.4 years, during which 992 incident CVD cases occurred.
- Cox proportional hazards regression models were employed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
Main Results:
- Elevated total WBC, lymphocyte, monocyte, and neutrophil counts were significantly associated with increased CVD risk (HRs ranging from 1.20 to 1.31).
- Higher mean corpuscular volume (MCV) and red cell distribution width (RDW) were also linked to greater CVD incidence (HRs 1.23 and 1.22, respectively).
- Platelet counts exceeding the normal clinical range showed a notable association with CVD risk (HR 1.49).
Conclusions:
- Total and differential white blood cell counts, MCV, RDW, and platelet count are likely implicated in the pathogenesis of CVD.
- White blood cell counts offer a modest improvement in predicting 10-year CVD risk beyond traditional risk factors in the general population.
Abstract:
All blood cells (white blood cells [WBC], red blood cells [RBC] and platelets) can play a role in atherosclerosis. Complete blood count (CBC) is widely available in clinical practice but utility as potential risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD) is uncertain. Our aim was to assess the associations of pre-diagnostic CBC with incidence of CVD in 14,362 adults free of CVD and aged 47.8 (±11.7) years at baseline, followed-up for 11.4 years (992 incident cases). Cox proportional hazards regressions were used to estimate HRs and 95%CI. Comparing the top (T3) to bottom (T1) tertile, increased total WBC, lymphocyte, monocyte and neutrophil counts were associated with higher CVD risk: 1.31 (1.10; 1.55), 1.20 (1.02; 1.41), 1.21 (1.03; 1.41) and 1.24 (1.05; 1.47), as well as mean corpuscular volume (MCV: 1.23 [1.04; 1.46]) and red cell distribution width (RDW: 1.22 [1.03; 1.44]). Platelets displayed an association for count values above the clinically normal range: 1.49 (1.00; 2.22). To conclude, total and differential WBC count, MCV, RDW and platelet count likely play a role in the aetiology of CVD but only WBC provide a modest improvement for the prediction of 10-year CVD risk over traditional CVD risk factors in a general population.
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