Plasma copeptin as a predictor of kidney disease

Plasma copeptin, a marker of vasopressin, is associated with renal function decline in the general population. Our aim was to study the links between elevated copeptin and future risk of kidney disease.

Copeptin was measured in a sample of the Malmö Preventive Project (MPP) Reinvestigation (n = 5158) and in the Malmö Diet and Cancer Cardiovascular Cohort (MDC-CC) (n = 5162). According to national registers, 89 subjects in MPP and 180 in MDC-CC developed chronic kidney disease (CKD) during follow-up (8.7 and 19.6 years, respectively).

After multivariate adjustment (gender, age, body mass index, smoking status, estimated glomerular filtration rate, prevalent diabetes, systolic blood pressure and prevalent antihypertensive treatment), copeptin (beta-coefficient per 1 standard deviation increment of ln copeptin) was independently associated with increased risk of CKD during follow-up in both cohorts (MPP: (HR) 1.46, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.18-1.80, P < 0.001; MDC-CC: HR 1.25, 95% CI 1.02-1.54, P = 0.03) among subjects free from prevalent kidney disease at baseline. Furthermore, in MPP, elevated copeptin predicted a specified diagnosis of kidney disease other than CKD (HR 1.31, 95% CI 1.08-1.59, P = 0.006) after multivariate adjustment. In a corresponding analysis in MDC-CC, copeptin was associated with a 10% increased risk, which, however, was non-significant (P = 0.25). A meta-analysis of the MPP and MDC-CC data showed significant association between elevated copeptin and a specified diagnosis of kidney disease other than CKD (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.05-1.34, P = 0.008).

An increased level of copeptin independently predicts development of both CKD and other specified kidney diseases, suggesting that copeptin can be used to identify individuals at risk for kidney disease development.