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Paediatric emergency department overcrowding and adverse patient outcomes
Melissa Chan1, Garth Meckler2, Quynh Doan2
1Division of Emergency Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Alberta, Stollery Children's Hospital,Edmonton, Alberta.
Insights
Pediatric emergency department (PED) crowding, measured by patients leaving without being seen (LWBS) and longer length of stay (LOS), is linked to increased hospital admissions and intensive care unit (PICU) stays.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Emergency Medicine
- Healthcare Operations Research
- Public Health
Background:
- Emergency department crowding negatively impacts patient care and increases morbidity.
- Understanding pediatric emergency department (PED) flow is crucial for optimizing patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine if pediatric emergency department (PED) flow markers are independently associated with adverse outcomes.
- To investigate the link between PED flow and increased healthcare utilization.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of PED visits from 2008-2012 using electronic administrative data.
- Multivariate logistic regression models assessed associations between PED flow markers (mean shift length of stay [LOS], daily rate of patients leaving without being seen [LWBS]) and adverse outcomes.
- Adverse outcomes included hospital/pediatric intensive care unit [PICU] admission, unscheduled return visits, and mortality.
Main Results:
- Increased daily LWBS proportion associated with higher odds of hospital admission (OR: 2.1) and PICU admission (OR: 8.9).
- Longer mean shift LOS (3rd/4th quartile) significantly increased odds of admission.
- Higher daily LWBS proportion correlated with lower odds of unscheduled return visits (OR: 0.4).
Conclusions:
- Measures of pediatric emergency department (PED) flow are associated with adverse outcomes and increased healthcare utilization.
- Further research is needed to establish causality between PED overcrowding and admission rates.
Background:
General emergency department crowding negatively impacts patient care, and increases patient morbidity.
Objectives:
This study seeks to determine if markers of paediatric emergency department (PED) flow are independently associated with negative outcomes and increased health care utilization.
Methods:
We conducted a retrospective cohort study of PED visits from 2008 to 2012. Data were pulled from an electronic administrative database. Using multivariate logistic regression models, we measured the association between odds of adverse outcomes (hospital/paediatric intensive care unit [PICU] admission, unscheduled return visits and mortality) with markers of PED flow (shift mean length of stay [LOS] and daily rate of patients leaving without being seen [LWBS]).
Results:
We found an association between the daily LWBS proportion and the odds of being admitted to the hospital (odds ratio [OR]: 2.1; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.2, 3.7), as well as admission to the PICU (OR: 8.9; 95% CI: 1.1, 71.3). We found a statistically significant increase in the odds of admission if seen during shifts in the third or fourth quartile mean shift LOS. We observed lower odds of returning to the PED with increased daily LWBS proportions (OR: 0.4; 95% CI: 0.2, 0.7), but found no association between the odds of returning to the PED and mean shift LOS.
Conclusion:
While we found an association between our pre-defined measures of adverse outcomes and markers of PED flow (or crowding), further studies are needed to determine whether PED overcrowding is the cause or effect of increased hospital and PICU admissions.
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