Projecting the Adequacy of the Multiple Sclerosis Neurologist Workforce

Area of Science:

• Neurology
• Healthcare Workforce Analysis
• Epidemiology

Background:

• Anecdotal evidence suggests a shortage of neurologists specializing in multiple sclerosis (MS) care.
• Limited data exists on the current and future supply and demand for this specialized medical workforce.

Purpose of the Study:

• To project the future supply and demand for neurologists providing care to patients with multiple sclerosis (MS).
• To assess potential workforce shortages and their impact on patient access to care through 2035.

Main Methods:

• Developed a predictive model using neurologist and resident surveys, professional organization data, and existing studies.
• The model projected the supply and demand for MS patient care through 2035.

Main Results:

• The neurologist workforce capacity for MS patient visits is projected to increase by 1% by 2025 and 12% by 2035.
• The growing MS patient population may outpace workforce growth, potentially reducing access to timely, quality care, especially in rural areas.
• Strategies to increase capacity include higher patient visit rates per neurologist, retention incentives, and expanded fellowship programs.

Conclusions:

• While the current neurologist workforce may be adequate for MS care, projected shortages are anticipated within 20 years.
• Urgent policy exploration and strategic initiatives are required to enhance the MS neurologist workforce and ensure patient access to care.