Analyzing critical material demand: A revised approach

Apparent consumption has been widely used as a metric to estimate material demand. However, with technology advancement and complexity of material use, this metric has become less useful in tracking material flows, estimating recycling feedstocks, and conducting life cycle assessment of critical materials. We call for future research efforts to focus on building a multi-tiered consumption database for the global trade network of critical materials. This approach will help track how raw materials are processed into major components (e.g., motor assemblies) and eventually incorporated into complete pieces of equipment (e.g., wind turbines). Foreseeable challenges would involve: 1) difficulty in obtaining a comprehensive picture of trade partners due to business sensitive information, 2) complexity of materials going into components of a machine, and 3) difficulty maintaining such a database. We propose ways to address these challenges such as making use of digital design, learning from the experience of building similar databases, and developing a strategy for financial sustainability. We recommend that, with the advancement of information technology, small steps toward building such a database will contribute significantly to our understanding of material flows in society and the associated human impacts on the environment.