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Forecasting progress in preventive dentistry
Community Dentistry and Oral Epidemiology
|October 1, 1979
Summary
This study introduces the Delphi experiment method to dental research, surveying 91 experts on dental caries and periodontal disease. Preliminary findings reveal numerous expert forecasts on future dental breakthroughs.
Area of Science:
- Dental Research
- Technological Forecasting
- Health Sciences
Background:
- Technological forecasting is an emerging discipline utilizing unique research methodologies.
- The Delphi experiment is a recognized forecasting technique.
- Predictive experiments are established in medicine and pharmacology but not yet in dentistry.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce and apply the Delphi experiment methodology within dental research.
- To gather expert opinions on future developments in dental caries and periodontal disease.
Main Methods:
- Conducted the first round of a dental Delphi experiment in 1975.
- Engaged an international panel of 91 experts.
- Presented experts with 12 questions (6 on dental caries, 6 on periodontal disease).
Main Results:
- Collected numerous forecasts regarding future developments and breakthroughs in dentistry.
- The Delphi experiment was successfully implemented in the dental field.
- Preliminary findings from the expert panel are discussed.
Conclusions:
- The Delphi experiment is a viable method for dental research and technological forecasting.
- Expert consensus can guide future directions in dental caries and periodontal disease research.