Factors Predictive of Healing in Large Rotator Cuff Tears: Is It Possible to Predict Retear Preoperatively?

Many studies have identified risk factors that cause retear after rotator cuff repair. However, it is still questionable whether retears can be predicted preoperatively.

To determine the risk factors related to retear after arthroscopic rotator cuff repair and to evaluate whether it is possible to predict the occurrence of retear preoperatively.

Case-control study; Level of evidence, 3.

This study enrolled 112 patients who underwent arthroscopic rotator cuff repair with single-row technique for a large-sized tear, defined as a tear with a mediolateral length of 3 to 5 cm. All patients underwent routine magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) at 9 months postoperatively to assess tendon integrity. The sample included 61 patients (54.5%) in the healed group and 51 (45.5%) in the retear group.

In multivariate analysis, the independent predictors of retears were supraspinatus muscle atrophy ( P < .001) and fatty infiltration of the infraspinatus ( P = .027), which could be preoperatively measured by MRI. A significant difference was found between the two groups in sex, the acromiohumeral interval, tendon tension, and preoperative or intraoperative mediolateral tear length and musculotendinous junction position in univariate analysis. However, these variables were not independent predictors in multivariate analysis. The cutoff values of occupation ratio of supraspinatus and fatty infiltration of the infraspinatus were 43% and grade 2, respectively. The occupation ratio of supraspinatus <43% and grade ≥2 fatty infiltration of the infraspinatus were the strongest predictors of retear, with an area under the curve of 0.908, sensitivity of 98.0%, and specificity of 83.6% (accuracy = 90.2%).

In patients with large rotator cuff tears, it was possible to predict the retear before rotator cuff repair regardless of intraoperative factors. The retear could be predicted most effectively when the occupation ratio of supraspinatus was <43% or the fatty infiltration of infraspinatus was grade ≥2. Predicting retear preoperatively may help surgeons determine proper treatment and predict the postoperative prognosis.