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Can 'loss and damage' carry the load?

Robert R M Verchick1

  • 1College of Law, Loyola University New Orleans, 6363 St Charles Avenue, New Orleans, LA 70115, USA rverchick@icloud.com.

Philosophical Transactions. Series A, Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences
|April 4, 2018
PubMed
Summary

Limiting global warming to 1.5°C, rather than 2°C, is crucial for managing unavoidable climate change impacts. This half-degree difference significantly affects the viability of loss and damage plans, especially for vulnerable regions.

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Area of Science:

  • Climate science
  • Environmental policy
  • Risk assessment

Background:

  • Global consensus recognizes the need for 'loss and damage' plans to address unavoidable climate change impacts.
  • Existing plans must be robust enough to meet minimal moral and political standards.
  • The Paris Agreement aims to limit warming to well below 2°C, targeting 1.5°C.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the significance of the 0.5°C difference between 1.5°C and 2°C warming scenarios.
  • To assess the impact of this temperature difference on the feasibility of 'loss and damage' plans.
  • To inform the design and expectations of future climate adaptation strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of climate impact studies, specifically referencing a 2016 European Geosciences Union publication.
Keywords:
1.5°C warming scenarioadaptationclimate changedisaster risk reductionloss and damagerisk management

Related Experiment Videos

  • Comparison of projected climate risks under 1.5°C and 2°C warming scenarios.
  • Evaluation of the implications for 'loss and damage' plan viability.

    • Main Results:

    • A 0.5°C increase in global average temperature (from 1.5°C to 2°C) can lead to disproportionately larger climate impacts.
    • These amplified impacts are particularly pronounced in tropical regions.
    • The difference between 1.5°C and 2°C warming is substantial enough to determine if a 'loss and damage' plan is politically and morally defensible.

    Conclusions:

    • The 1.5°C target is critical for ensuring the effectiveness and acceptability of climate change adaptation and mitigation efforts.
    • Exceeding 1.5°C warming significantly increases residual risks, potentially overwhelming 'loss and damage' mechanisms.
    • Understanding the precise impact of this temperature threshold is essential for designing effective global climate policies.